JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Opponent strength · group stage

Strength of Schedule — who got the toughest draw?

Based on Elo ratings of each team's 3 group opponents. "Strongest field" picks the team facing the highest-average opponents in absolute terms; "Hardest contender draw" picks the best team (Elo ≥ 1850) stuck with the toughest opponents. The "Combined" column merges opponent strength with the travel Edge Index for a single all-factors difficulty score.

Strongest field
IRQ
Iraq
Group I · Avg opp Elo 1955
100
Weakest field
CAN
Canada
Group B · Avg opp Elo 1653
0
Hardest contender draw
NOR
Norway
Group I · Elo 1917 · avg opp 1884
77
12 groups · ranked by sum of Elo

Group difficulty ranking

Group I#1 of 12
GROUP OF DEATH
Sum Elo7472
Group J#2 of 12
TOUGH GROUP
Sum Elo7400
Group K#3 of 12
TOUGH GROUP
Sum Elo7334
Group G#10 of 12
EASIEST GROUP
Sum Elo6914
Group A#11 of 12
EASIEST GROUP
Sum Elo6883
Group B#12 of 12
EASIEST GROUP
Sum Elo6695

All 48 teams · sortable

#TeamGrp
1IRQIraqI
100
195520817472160833
66
2CPVCape VerdeH
91
192821297203160637
64
3AUTAustriaJ
90
192521297400183063
76
4CODDR CongoK
90
192520207334165556
73
5GHAGhanaL
86
191420207180150340
63
6JORJordanJ
84
190521137400168552
68
7PARParaguayD
80
189520817248178047
63
8NORNorwayI
77
188420817472191767
72
9SWESwedenF
76
188320817207175552
64
10PORPortugalK
76
188221297334198455
65
11TUNTunisiaF
73
187419617207158538
56
12ALGAlgeriaJ
73
187321137400177267
70
13UZBUzbekistanK
73
187219847334171863
68
14ESPSpainH
71
1869211372032129100
86
15KSASaudi ArabiaH
71
186821297203159842
56
16HAIHaitiC
71
186819887136153213
42
17SENSenegalI
71
186820817472186634
53
18FRAFranceI
69
186221297472208170
69
19MARMoroccoC
67
185420817136182263
65
20CUWCuraçaoE
66
185319256991143322
44
21ENGEnglandL
65
184921137180202096
81
22EGYEgyptG
60
183321136914169972
66
23ARGArgentinaJ
57
182621297400211363
60
24JPNJapanF
56
182219887207190655
55
25PANPanamaL
55
18182020718017278
31
26CROCroatiaL
51
180920207180193054
53
27BELBelgiumG
50
180421296914186652
51
28TURTurkeyD
49
180018397248184931
40
29BRABrazilC
47
179419177136198842
44
30CIVIvory CoastE
46
179119256991174340
43
31USAUnited StatesD
45
179018667248178022
34
32MEXMexicoA
44
17852020688318680
22
33RSASouth AfricaA
43
178318686883151777
60
34SUISwitzerlandB
43
178221136695186562
52
35SCOScotlandC
42
178119887136179428
35
36URUUruguayH
41
177821297203187027
34
37AUSAustraliaD
41
177718497248183965
53
38NZLNew ZealandG
41
177618666914158533
37
39NEDNetherlandsF
38
176719067207196149
43
40QATQatarB
32
174918656695144735
33
41COLColombiaK
30
174519847334197756
43
42ECUEcuadorE
29
174219256991189044
37
43CZECzech RepublicA
23
172418686883171251
37
44IRNIranG
21
171718666914176432
26
45BIHBosnia and HerzegovinaB
20
171518656695161640
30
46GERGermanyE
19
171218906991192548
33
47KORSouth KoreaA
15
169918686883178639
27
48CANCanadaB
0
165318656695176738
19
★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →