⚽JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Comparevs
Schedule comparison · group stage
Mexico has the easier schedule overall (8.5 vs 1.5 weighted metric points).

Travel

8,449 km
Total km flown
✓966 km
3 h
Cumulative TZ shift
✓0 h
4
Venue changes
✓2
25 m✓
Altitude swing
680 m
26°C✓
Max heat exposure
27°C
5 days
Min rest days
5 days
20
Circadian penalty (total)
✓16
22
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
✓0

Opponents

1780
Own Elo
✓1868
1790
Avg opponent Elo
✓1785
1866✓
Top opponent Elo
2020
7248
Group sum Elo
✓6883
45
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
✓44

Predictions (Monte Carlo)

100%
P(top of group)
100%
100%
P(advance to R32)
100%
6.00
Expected points
✓9.00
0%
P(reach QF)
0%
0.0%
P(champion)
0.0%
Full breakdown →
USAUnited States
Full breakdown →
MEXMexico
All 48 teams ranked →
Edge Index leaderboard
★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →