⚽JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Comparevs
Schedule comparison · group stage
United States has the easier schedule overall (8.5 vs 2.5 weighted metric points).

Travel

11,490 km
Total km flown
✓8,449 km
8 h
Cumulative TZ shift
✓3 h
7
Venue changes
✓4
197 m
Altitude swing
✓25 m
35°C
Max heat exposure
✓26°C
4 days
Min rest days
✓5 days
48
Circadian penalty (total)
✓20
70
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
✓22

Opponents

2081✓
Own Elo
1780
1862
Avg opponent Elo
✓1790
2129
Top opponent Elo
✓1866
7472
Group sum Elo
✓7248
69
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
✓45

Predictions (Monte Carlo)

100%
P(top of group)
100%
100%
P(advance to R32)
100%
9.00✓
Expected points
6.00
100%✓
P(reach QF)
0%
0.0%
P(champion)
0.0%
Full breakdown →
FRAFrance
Full breakdown →
USAUnited States
All 48 teams ranked →
Edge Index leaderboard
★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →