⚽JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Comparevs
Schedule comparison · group stage
United States has the easier schedule overall (6.5 vs 4.5 weighted metric points).

Travel

11,248 km
Total km flown
✓8,449 km
5 h
Cumulative TZ shift
✓3 h
3✓
Venue changes
4
2,228 m
Altitude swing
✓25 m
31°C
Max heat exposure
✓26°C
5 days
Min rest days
5 days
10✓
Circadian penalty (total)
20
44
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
✓22

Opponents

1890✓
Own Elo
1780
1742✓
Avg opponent Elo
1790
1925
Top opponent Elo
✓1866
6991✓
Group sum Elo
7248
29✓
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
45

Predictions (Monte Carlo)

0%
P(top of group)
✓100%
100%
P(advance to R32)
100%
4.00
Expected points
✓6.00
0%
P(reach QF)
0%
0.0%
P(champion)
0.0%
Full breakdown →
ECUEcuador
Full breakdown →
USAUnited States
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★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →